Place your bets - 2017 Summer 1v1 Tournament

And we're back for our second annual betting thread, for the 2017 Summer 1v1 Tournament! I'll go over the rules here for those who need a refresher, but again you don't need to know all these details if you just wanna start betting. Feel free to skip all this and jump right in, using my post below as an example.

Alright, so here's the basic idea. For each match (between two players), there's a pool of money that will be split amongst everyone who correctly predicts the winner of the match. Each pool starts out at $500, and when you bet on the game, that money goes into the pool.

The money in the pool will be given out proportionately to the winners based on how much they bet. So if I bet $100 and you bet $200, you'll get twice as much returns as me if we both win.

In addition - as of now - you can also bet on the overall score of each match! In other words, how many games out of 5 will be won by each player. This is optional, but there's no penalty for getting it wrong and bonus payouts of about 50% for getting it right. (The math here is a bit more complicated, so I won't go into it here; check my source code here if you really want to know how it's done. Suffice to say, your net winnings will be approximately 50% more than normal, and closer to that number the more people there are betting.)

The minimum individual bet for each match is $100, and the maximum is $500. You're allowed to bet on as many or as few matches as you want, and predict as many scores as you want, but the best strategy is to bet on all the matches, and predict all the scores. If you want to retract a bet before the match has started, you can do that as well.

You have an unlimited amount of money. The winner is the person who makes the most net gain - total money won, minus total money bet.

Also, you're not allowed to bet on your own matches.

Examples:

Suppose the match is Matan vs. Jeef. The pool starts out at $500.

Person A bets $100 on Matan.

Person B bets $200 on Matan.

Person C bets $400 on Jeef.

The pool is now $500 + $100 + $200 + $400 = $1200.

If Matan wins, Person A and Person B will split the $1200, such that Person B gets twice as much as Person A (since Person B bet twice as much money). So Person A will get $400, and Person B will get $800.

If Jeef wins, Person C gets the $1200 all to themselves.

But now, suppose that the players decided to bet on the overall scores as well (which is best strategy):

Person A bets $100 on Matan to win 4-1.

Person B bets $200 on Matan to win 3-2.

Person C bets $400 on Jeef to win 5-0.

The pool is still $1200, and exactly $1200 will still be given out no matter what.

If Matan wins 5-0, then none of the score predictions were correct, so the payouts are as above, $400 to Person A, and $800 to Person B.

If Matan wins 3-2, then Person B correctly predicted the score, so they get a bonus. Since there's only 3 people betting, this bonus is a lot less than 50% (50% would give Person B the whole pot, and make Person A lose money), but it comes out to $875 for Person B, and $325 for Person A.

If Jeef wins, then the score doesn't matter - Person C wins the $1200 no matter what.

We’re on the playoffs now - see this post for instructions, and examples, on how to bet!






Standings

Player	Net $	Predictions Correct	Correct %
Frostfire	$13332.08	81/119	68%
Kalle	$8270.27	78/90	87%
Tue27	$7803.34	83/99	84%
Rosie	$7730.30	76/105	72%
TheTurk	$7575.42	66/95	69%
MBOUltimate	$4952.85	76/106	72%
hPerks	$4843.78	67/109	61%
TheEvoker	$2466.66	20/21	95%
Robert	$2226.41	75/101	74%
Jackrb	$699.87	64/100	64%
Threefolder	$670.08	44/57	77%
CylinderKnot	-$53.57	2/3	67%
Eguy	-$80.14	35/55	64%
Regislian	-$163.24	27/34	79%
Xedron	-$1689.60	40/63	63%
HiGuy	-$2131.47	21/66	32%
Lamp	-$6953.06	45/80	56%
____________	____________	____________________	________

All right, here are my bets. Again, you can now bet on the score for each match for extra payouts; no penalties for getting it wrong.

Xedron beats noby 5-0: $500
MBOUltimate beats Lichable 5-0: $500
Invicta beats CylinderKnot 5-0: $400
Tue27 beats Macstr0yer 3-2: $250

Kalle beats Storminorman 5-0: $500
HiGuy beats TheEvoker 5-0: $500
Jackrb beats MBCollector 3-2: $300

Rosie beats Peacock 5-0: $500
Eguy beats TheTurk 5-0: $500
Lee beats Sefaro 4-1: $300
Robert beats Weather 3-2: $400

MBOUltimate beats Lichabe 5-0: $500
Invictaa beats CylinderKnot 4-1: $200
Tue27 beats Macstr0yer 3-2: $300

hPerks beats Ralph 5-0: $500
Kalle beats Storminorman 5-0: $500
Higuy beats TheEvoker 5-0: $300
[email protected] beats MBCollector 3-2: $200 (Depends on how much MBC practices before the match)

Rosie beats Peacock 5-0: $500
Eguy beats Turk 5-0: $100 (Depends on how much Turk improves before tomorrow )
Lee beats Sefaro 3-2: $150
Robert beats Weather 3-2: $200 (Weather has improved a ton and Robert is a little rusty, so should be a very close match-up)

Xedron 5-0 Nobody: $500
MBOUltimate 5-0 Lichable: $500
Invictaa 5-0 CylinderKnot: $500
Tue27 4-1 Macstr0yer: $300

hPerks 5-0 Ralph: $500
Kalle29 5-0 Storminorman: $500
HiGuy 5-0 The Evoker: $500
[email protected] 3-2 MBCollector: $400

Rosie ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Peacock: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Eguy 4-1 theturk1234: $400
Lee 2-3 Sefaro: $400
Robert 4-1 Weather $400

And as per usual we go in hard without considering the possible consequences.

Xedron beats noby 5-0: $500
MBOUltimate beats Lichable 5-0: $500
Invicta beats CylinderKnot 5-0: $500
Macstr0yer beats Tue27 4-1: $500

hPerks beats Ralph 5-0: $500
HiGuy beats TheEvoker 5-0: $500
Jackrb beats MBCollector 5-0: $500

Rosie beats Peacock 5-0: $500
Eguy beats TheTurk 5-0: $500
Lee beats Sefaro 4-1: $500
Robert beats Weather 5-0: $500

Bets:

Noby beats Xedron 3-2: $420.69
MBO beats Lichable 4-1: $198.54
CylenderKnot beats Invicta 3-2: $101.01
Tue27 beats Macstr0yer 3-2: $333.33

hPerks beats Ralph 5-0: $488.76
Kalle29 beats Storminormin 5-0: $499.97
HiGuy beats TheEvoker 4-1: $497.96
MBC beats [email protected] 3-2: $247.84

Rosie beats Peacock 5-0: $466.26
Eguy beats TheTurk 4-1: $231.45
Lee beats Sefaro 3-2: $178.34
Robert beats Weather 5-0: $499.95

Xedron beats Noby 5-0: $500
MBO beats Lichie 5-0: $500
Invictaa beats Cylinder 5-0: $500
Tue beats Mac 4-1: $350

Perks beats Ralph 5-0: $500
Kalle beats Norman 5-0: $500
HiGuy beats Evoker 5-0: $500
Jack beats MBC 4-1: $300

Rozi beats Peacock 5-0: $500
Eguy beats Turk 5-0: $500
Lee beats Sefaro 5-0: $500
Weather beats Robert 3-2: $100

P.S. now you know why i'm not participating, 12 games to bet on instead of 11 - easy money

Xedron beats nobody 4-1: $500
MBO beats Lichie 5-0: $500
Invictaa beats Cylinder 4-1: $350
Tue27 beats Macstroyer 5-0: $500

Perks beats Ralph 5-0: $500
Kalle beats Storminormin 5-0: $500
HiGuy beats Evoker 5-0: $500
MBC beats Jack 4-1: $300

Rozi beats Peacock 5-0: $500
Eguy beats Turk 4-1: $500
Lee beats Sefaro 3-2: $300
Robert beats Weather 4-1: $300

Xedron beats nobody 5-0 $500
MBO beats Lichable 5-0 $500
Invictaa beats CylinderKnot 4-1 $500
Tue beats Macstr0yer 3-2 $500

hPerks beats Ralph 5-0 $500
Kalle beats Storminorman 4-1 $500
HiGuy beats Evoker 5-0 $500
[email protected] beats MBC 4-1 $500

Rozi beats Peacock 5-0 $500
Eguy beats Turk 3-2 $500
Lee beats Sefaro 3-2 $500

Xedron beats Noby 5-0 $500
CylinderKnot beats Invictaa 3-2 $300
Tue beats Macstroyer 3-2 $300

hPerks beats Ralph 5-0 $500
Kalle beats Storminorman 5-0 $500
HiGuy beats Evoker 4-1 $400
[email protected] beats MBC 3-2 $300

Rosie beats Peacock 5-0 $500
Eguy beats Turk 4-1 $500
Sefaro beats Lee 3-2 $200
Robert beats Weather 4-1 $400

Xedron beats Noby 4-1 $500
MBO beats Lichable 5-0 $500
Invictaa beats Cylinderknot 4-1 $500

hPerks beats Ralph 5-0 $500
Kalle beats Storminorman 5-0 $500
Higuy beats The Evoker 5-0 $500
[email protected] beats MBC 3-2 $420

Rosie beats Peacock 5-0 $500
Eguy beats The Turk 4-1 $500
Lee beats Sefaro 3-2 $350
Robert beats Weather 4-1 $500

group A:
Xedron beats noby 4-1 $500
MBOUltimate beats Lichable 5-0 $500
Invictaa beats CylinderKnot 4-1 $500
Tue27 beats Macstr0yer 4-1 $500

group B:
hPerks beats Ralph 5-0 $500
Kalle beats Storminorman 5-0 $500
Higy beats TheEvoker 5-0 $500

group C:
Rosie beats Peacock 5-0 $500
Eguy beats TheTurk 4-1 $500
Sefaro beats Lee 3-2 $100
Robert beats Weather 5-0 $500

group A:
Xedron beats noby 5-0 $500
MBOUltimate beats Lichable 5-0 $500
Invictaa beats CylinderKnot 4-1 $500
Tue27 beats Macstr0yer 4-1 $500

group B:
hPerks beats Ralph 5-0 $500
Kalle beats Storminorman 5-0 $500
Higy beats TheEvoker 5-0 $500
[email protected] beats MBC 5-0 $500

group C:
Rosie beats Peacock 5-0 $500
Lee beatsSefaro 5-0 $500
Robert beats Weather 4-1 $500

Based on the map picks I'm gonna retract and change three of my above bets:

Xedron beats noby 4-1: $500 (noby is a beast on MAC)
Sefaro beats Lee 3-2: $300 (I'll take 4:1 odds)
Weather beats Robert 3-2: $100 (definitely got a chance)

Xeef>noby 5-0 $500
Invictaa>CK 4-1 $500
Tue>Mac 4-1 $400
Perks>Ralph 5-0 $500
[email protected]>MBC 3-2 $250
Kale>Stormy 5-0 $500
Higy>Evoker 4-1 $500
Rosie>Peacock 5-0 $500
Seef>Lee 3-2 $100
El_Bob>Weather 4-1 $400

And our first results are in - nothing too unexpected yet.

MBOUltimate 5-0 Lichable

Frostfire, Jackrb, Kalle, Regislian, Robert, Rosie, TheTurk, Tue27, Xedron & hPerks: +$48.71
Threefolder: +$12.89

Eguy 5-0 TheTurk

Frostfire, Kalle & hPerks: +$67.78 (for guessing the score correctly)
Jackrb, MBOUltimate, Regislian, Robert & Tue27: +$45.19
Rosie: +$36.16
Threefolder: +$20.91
Xedron: +$13.55

Rosie 5-0 Peacock

Eguy, Frostfire, HiGuy, Jackrb, Kalle, MBOUltimate, Regislian, Robert, TheTurk, Tue27, Xedron & hPerks: +$38.66
Threefolder: +$36.05

Lee 3-2 Sefaro

Robert: +$353.05
Tue27: +$247.14
Frostfire, Kalle & TheTurk: +$235.37
Regislian: +$211.83
Threefolder: +$125.92
Xedron: +$105.91
Eguy & Jackrb: -$-100.00
HiGuy: -$-150.00
MBOUltimate: -$-200.00
hPerks: -$-300.00
Rosie: -$-400.00

Jackrb 3-2 MBCollector

Tue27: +$195.81
Rosie: +$186.48
Kalle, Robert & TheTurk: +$155.40
MBOUltimate & hPerks: +$139.86
Eguy & HiGuy: +$116.55
Xedron: +$93.24
Frostfire: +$93.24
Threefolder: -$247.84
Regislian: -$300.00
Lamp: -$500.00

(note: Lamp is literally flipping a coin for all of these bets lol)

changed robert v weather bet to Robert 4-1 $400

Tue27 3-2 Macstr0yer

Robert: +$147.98
Jackrb, Lamp, Regislian & TheTurk: +$98.65
Threefolder: +$98.65
MBOUltimate & Xedron: +$88.78
Eguy: +$78.92
hPerks: +$73.99
Frostfire: +$69.05
Rosie: +$59.19
HiGuy: -$100.00
Kalle: -$500.00

Invictaa 5-0 CylinderKnot

Frostfire, Kalle, Lamp & Rosie: +$75.64
hPerks: +$60.51
Eguy, Jackrb, Robert, TheTurk & Tue27: +$50.43
Regislian: +$35.30
MBOUltimate: +$30.25
Xedron: +$20.17
HiGuy: -$100.00
Threefolder: -$101.01

Kalle 5-0 Storminorman

Eguy, Frostfire, Jackrb, MBOUltimate, Regislian, Rosie, TheTurk, Tue27, Xedron & hPerks: +$83.79
Threefolder: +$83.79
Robert: +$55.86
HiGuy: +$22.34
Lamp: -$500.00

Xedron 5-0 noby

Eguy, Frostfire, Kalle, MBOUltimate, Robert, Rosie & TheTurk: +$139.28
Jackrb, Regislian, Tue27 & hPerks: +$92.85
HiGuy: +$74.28
Threefolder: -$420.69
Lamp: -$500.00

Quick change to my original bet:

Robert beats Weather 3-2: $500

More confident about robert's performance after playing him a few times

Confidence paid off! Robert 4-1 Weather

TheTurk & Tue27: +$76.64
Eguy, Frostfire, MBOUltimate & Rosie: +$61.31
Jackrb, Kalle, Lamp & Xedron: +$51.09
Threefolder: +$51.09
Regislian: +$45.98
HiGuy & hPerks: -$100.00

Update: HiGuy 5-0 TheEvoker

Frostfire, Jackrb, Kalle, Regislian, Robert, Rosie, TheTurk, Tue27 & hPerks: +$87.22
Eguy: +$58.15
Threefolder: +$57.91
Xedron: +$52.33
MBOUltimate: +$46.52
Lamp: -$500.00

Round 2 has started - some... interesting map picks this time could lead to upsets!

My bets:

Xedron 5-0 Lichable: $500
Invictaa 5-0 Tue27: $500
CylinderKnot 3-2 noby: $300
MBOUltimate 4-1 Macstr0yer: $500
HiGuy 3-2 Jackrb: $200
TheEvoker 3-2 Ralph: $200
MBCollector 3-2 Kalle: $100
Rosie 5-0 TheTurk: $500
Lee 3-2 Robert: $300
Sefaro 5-0 Peacock: $500
Eguy 4-1 Weather: $500

Edit: Lamp decided to start betting for real lol, here are her bets:

Xedron 5-0 Lichable: $500
Invictaa 5-0 Tue27: $500
noby 5-0 CylinderKnot: $500
MBOUltimate 5-0 Macstr0yer: $500
hPerks 5-0 Storminorman: $500
Jackrb 5-0 HiGuy: $500
TheEvoker 5-0 Ralph: $500
Kalle 5-0 MBCollector: $500
Rosie 5-0 TheTurk: $500
Robert 5-0 Lee: $500
Sefaro 5-0 Peacock: $500
Eguy 5-0 Weather: $500

Lot o tough ones this round esp with the troll maps

Xedron 5-0 Lichie $500
Invic 4-1 Tue $500
Noby 4-1 CK $500
MBO 4-1 Mac $500
Perky 5-0 Stormin $500
Jack 3-2 higs $400
Evoker 5-0 Ralph $500
Kale 5-0 MBC $500
Rozi 5-0 Turk $500
Robert 3-2 Lee $400
Sefaro 5-0 Peacock $500
Eguy 5-0 Weather $500

Being more aggressive with my betting this time..

Invictaa beats Tue 4-1: $500
Nobody beats CK 3-2: $500
MBO beats Mac 5-0: $500
Perks beats Storm 5-0: $500
Higuy beats Jack 3-2: $350
Evokes beats Ralph 4-1: $500
Kalle beats MBC 4-1: $500
Rosie beats Turk 5-0: $500
Robert beats Lee 3-2: $350
Sefaro beats Peacock 5-0: $500
Eguy beats Weather 5-0: $500

This round is going to be interesting...

Xedron 5-0 Lichable: $500
Invictaa 3-2 Tue: $500
CylinderKnot 1-4 Nobody: $500
MBOUltimate 4-1 Macstr0yer: $500
hPerks 5-0 Storminorman: $500
HiGuy 1-4 [email protected]: $400
TheEvoker 4-1 Ralph: $500
Kalle 5-0 MBCollector672: $500
Lee 3-2 El_Robert: $400
Sefaro 5-0 Peacock: $500
Eguy 5-0 Weather: $500

changing higuy 3-2 jack to Jack 3-2 higuy, same amount of money

Xedron beats Licheble 5-0 $500
Invictaa beats Tue 3-2 $500
Noby beats CK 3-2 $420 $500
MBO beats Mac 5-0 $500
hPerks beats Storminorman 5-0 $500
[email protected] beats HiGuy 3-2 $400
Evoker beats Ralph 3-2 $300
Kalle beats MBC 4-1 $500
Rosie beats Turk 4-1 $500
I beat Lee 4-1 $500 (motivation) (also #rigged if this really happens)
Sefaro beats Peacock 5-0 $500
Eguy beats Weather 4-1 $500


Interesting maps... good luck to everyone!